Charleston, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Charleston WV
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Charleston WV
Issued by: National Weather Service Charleston, WV |
Updated: 5:14 am EDT Jun 6, 2025 |
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Today
 Scattered Showers then Showers Likely
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Tonight
 Heavy Rain and Patchy Fog
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Saturday
 Showers Likely
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Saturday Night
 Showers Likely
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Sunday
 Showers
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Sunday Night
 Showers Likely then Partly Cloudy
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers
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Monday Night
 Showers Likely then Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Chance Showers then Chance T-storms
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Hi 82 °F |
Lo 65 °F |
Hi 81 °F |
Lo 64 °F |
Hi 79 °F |
Lo 63 °F |
Hi 83 °F |
Lo 62 °F |
Hi 80 °F |
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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Today
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Tonight
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 7pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 11pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 11pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Light northwest wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Saturday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Sunday
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 79. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Sunday Night
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Showers likely, mainly before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
Monday
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A 40 percent chance of showers after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. |
Monday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 10pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10pm and 2am, then a chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Tuesday
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A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Tuesday Night
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A chance of thunderstorms before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday
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Sunny, with a high near 82. |
Wednesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. |
Thursday
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Partly sunny, with a high near 86. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Charleston WV.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
334
FXUS61 KRLX 061016
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
616 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms today, some may
contain damaging wind and large hail. Heavy rain will be
possible with any convection today and tonight. Active weather
persists into the weekend as the front stalls over the area.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 300 AM Friday...
Key Points:
* Marginal threat for severe hail and winds with thunderstorms this
afternoon.
* Slow moving, efficient convection may yield high water issues,
especially tonight into Saturday morning
Weak surface low pressure riding along a stalled frontal zone across
the Middle Ohio Valley coupled with weak H850 mass convergence at
this hour continues to support elevated showers and thunderstorms.
Expect these to continue to progress to the east following a more or
less west to east oriented ribbon of instability through this
morning, likely becoming surface based across northern WV early this
afternoon with additional diurnally forced convection blossoming as
surface parcels become uncapped. We do have quite a range of model
solutions regarding phasing of northern/southern stream jet energy
during the day today with WRF camp generally the aggressive and RAP
least aggressive in phasing early and spreading ascent across the
area in time to enhanced the aforementioned showers and
thunderstorms. The later solutions would yield higher instability co-
located with stronger deep layer shear and a higher potential for
damaging wind gusts and perhaps some marginally severe hail
(although wet bulb zero values near 12kft likely limit this) this
afternoon. The faster solutions would yield a period of subsidence
or at least the lack of broad ascent heading into peak heating,
especially across our west where we could remain storm free during
the late afternoon. The slower solutions would yield weaker flow
through the column resulting in slower storm motions and more narrow
CAPE profiles favorable for efficient rainfall production yielding a
bit better chances for some water issues, although heavier rainfall
footprints during the daylight hours are not expected to
significantly overlap the heavier rainfall footprints from last
night.
Otherwise, for areas that don`t see convection this morning, except
highs generally in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
The potentially more significant water concerns look to arrive
overnight as slow moving frontal boundary lays out west to east
across area with at least some models putting it nearly directly
over a heavier rainfall footprint from last night across the
Mountain Lakes. Significant training appears possible along this
boundary during the late overnight into Saturday morning, but given
the model spread don`t have a ton of confidence in placement. Plan
to take a hard look at the 06Z suite as it comes in for a potential
flood watch before I leave this morning, but otherwise will defer to
the day shift for any highlights.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 215 AM Friday...
Models show a cold front stalling over the region on Saturday.
Soundings remain unstable, so numerous showers and thunderstorms
can be expected. With some mid level dry air and most unstable
CAPES in the 1500 to 2500 range, could see some storms produce
damaging wind gusts. Some large hail is also possible with a
freezing level around 13K feet. With a cold front providing a
focusing mechanism for showers and thunderstorms, there is some
concern that flash flooding could become an issue.
Models show an upper level short wave moving across the area
for Sunday. This will once again enhance the chances for showers
and thunderstorms. The setup for severe weather is similar to
Saturday, with damaging winds and large hail possible.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 220 AM Friday...
An upper level trough moves into the region Monday into
Tuesday. This will provide additional chances of showers and
thunderstorms, but will also push a cold front through the area.
This will lead to better chances of drier weather for Wednesday
and Thursday.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 615 AM Friday...
Isolated to scattered elevated showers and thunderstorms are
expected to spread in from the west this morning. Generally
think limited coverage will struggle to get onto the fields and
will only code VCSH/VCTS for now. As daytime heating commences,
elevated convection should transition to surface based with
increasing coverage and will code PROB30/TEMPO TS for most
terminals.
Should see a relative lull in activity across the west this
afternoon as weak subsidence spreads into the region. Activity
should increase again with approach of a very slow moving cold front
overnight tonight, with locally very heavy rain possible along a
west to east axis. This could yield a prolonged period of
thunder at the fields coupled with very heavy rainfall,
confidence in placement is not high however.
Winds generally westerly 5-10KT except gusty and erratic near
convection.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Convective coverage will vary, will need
to address with additional TEMPOs through the day.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
EDT 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY L L H M M H H H H H H H
EKN CONSISTENCY L L M H H H H H H H H H
PKB CONSISTENCY L L M H H H H H H H H H
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 12Z SATURDAY...
IFR conditions at times in showers and thunderstorms through
Tuesday.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RPY/JP
NEAR TERM...JP
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...JP
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